US Stock Market Seasonality| A Comprehensive Analysis

🎙 Welcome to Market Dive, your deep dive into the world of finance and investing!

This week, Nika and Kian will discuss the fascinating topic of stock market seasonality. Why do some months consistently outperform others? What’s behind famous strategies like "Sell in May and Go Away"? And what do these patterns mean for your 2025 portfolio?

Highlights

1. What does historical data tell us about the strongest and weakest months for the S&P 500, Dow Jones, and Nasdaq?
2. How do small-cap and large-cap stocks differ in their seasonal performance?
3. Why do growth and value stocks shine during different parts of the year?
4. What are the potential explanations behind seasonal trends, and can we trust them?
5. What predictions are experts making for 2025, and how can investors position themselves?

Seasonality refers to recurring patterns in stock prices at specific times of the year. For instance, historical data shows the S&P 500 performs strongest in April, November, and December, while September often struggles. Similarly, small-cap stocks tend to rally between mid-December and mid-February, outperforming large caps during this period. Famous strategies like "Sell in May and Go Away" highlight how some investors use these patterns to their advantage, but recent trends—like May 2024's stellar 4.6% gain—suggest these rules aren’t set in stone.

This episode will uncover the data, the psychology, and the reasons behind these trends while offering actionable insights for your investment strategy.

Nika and Kian will break down the numbers, share expert insights, and discuss whether this year’s trends align with historical patterns—or set new ones altogether.

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